AGP Executive Report

Forest Data Crackdown: Indonesia is restricting downloads from its forest mapping tool, warning users they could face prosecution—raising fears researchers can’t track deforestation and threats to Indigenous lands. Copyright Overhaul: The DPR has started talks on updating Indonesia’s Copyright Law, with the government submitting 1,117 issue lists covering royalties, AI regulation, and protection for journalistic works. Downstreaming Push: Indonesia targets Rp3,839.9 trillion in downstreaming investment (2025–2029) to lift exports and spread growth beyond Java, with AI now being positioned as a key lever for productivity. Nuclear Ambition: Indonesia is moving toward a 7 GW nuclear power target, adding it to the national energy master plan as part of long-term energy security planning. Public Data Law: DPR approved the One Data Indonesia Bill to improve data accuracy for fair, transparent public policy. Health Security: Indonesia stepped up health surveillance at airports and seaports after a suspected plague-linked death in Russia, using SATUSEHAT Health Pass and symptom monitoring. AI + Industry: Indonesia’s AI-driven downstreaming push is also tied to rising demand for data centers and digital infrastructure. Energy Transition & Industry: Seaweed is being promoted as a base for inclusive industrialization, shifting from raw exports to higher-value processing. Tech Market Signals: Copper prices ticked up on AI/data-center demand expectations, reinforcing the materials story behind Indonesia’s infrastructure race.

Southeast Asia Tech Reset: Investors at DealStreetAsia’s Asia PE-VC Summit say the region is moving past “growth at all costs” after funding corrections, with more durable enterprise and industry-tech businesses taking shape. Indonesia Health Security: Indonesia’s Health Ministry is tightening monitoring at airports and seaports after a suspected plague-related pneumonia death in Russia, using SATUSEHAT Health Pass checks plus symptom and vector surveillance. ASEAN Power Crunch: An IEA report warns electricity security risks are widening as demand rises (5.4% yearly to 2030) and grids face tighter supply, more renewables, and higher costs from LNG/coal reliance. Digital Infrastructure: Indonesia is building the SGI domestic submarine cable system (6,870km, 25Tbit/s) to boost capacity for data centers, cloud, and AI, targeting service by end-2028. Biometrics at Airports: Idemia Public Security plans group face-biometric processing across APAC to reduce airport congestion, with trials underway. Volcano Monitoring: ESA’s EarthCARE satellite captured Anak Krakatau’s ash plume structure to improve aviation safety. Green Transition: Indonesia’s low-carbon push could create ~1.2M jobs annually, but success hinges on turning global tech shifts into local manufacturing capacity. Trade & Connectivity: Indonesia’s INA-LAC 2026 mission in Chile secured about $329M in confirmed deals and $344M in potential transactions.

AI Infrastructure & Cooling: LG Electronics won a long-term deal to supply chillers for 5GW of AI data center capacity in North America, in phases, under a contract with AIR Control Concept. Prison Reform: Indonesia is preparing rehabilitation and re-education centers to cut correctional overcapacity, targeting narcotics offenders of productive age. Stablecoins Watch: Visa says stablecoin interest in Asia Pacific is far ahead of use—46% may use them by 2031, but only 16% used them in the past year. Halal Compliance Costs: Indonesia’s mandatory halal rules from Oct 17 could raise compliance burdens for Indian exporters, risking delays and recalls if certification isn’t secured. El Niño & Wildlife: Fires linked to El Niño are threatening Bornean orangutans; experts urge long-term, community-led action beyond firefighting. Human Capital Push: Coordinating Minister Sugiono says Indonesia will accelerate education, health, disaster resilience and poverty programs, including major school renovations and STEM expansion. Finance Stability: OJK says Indonesia’s financial sector remains stable despite global tightening, but warns El Niño-driven inflation risks. Defense Expansion: Indonesia added 204 military units as Prabowo urged readiness for evolving, tech-driven warfare. Trade & Food Tech: Indonesia’s digital rupiah push and edible-oil inflation pressures sit alongside regional ag-tech trends like high-tech shrimp ponds in Vietnam.

Digital Payments Push: Bank Indonesia is accelerating the Digital Rupiah and expanding QRIS/BI-FAST momentum, with QRIS hitting 65.77M users and 44.86M merchants by June 2026. Data Center Regulation Debate: UI experts warn Indonesia’s data-center boom needs electricity/water readiness plus clear rules, or it risks environmental harm and social conflict. AI Safety & Science Funding: SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son says superintelligence in the wrong hands is “super dangerous,” while the US and 16 countries back the Kyoto Vision for a Golden Age of Science to boost AI-enabled research. Android Sideloading Rules: Google rolls out stricter third-party app installation controls early in Indonesia and three other countries to curb scams. STEM & Cyber Talent: UI’s FMIPA explores data science/AI/cybersecurity training with Positive Technologies, aiming for joint research and digital security solutions. Climate Shock for Indonesia: Reports warn a “super El Niño” could drive extreme heat deaths globally, with Indonesia among the hardest-hit. Peatland Fire Governance: Indonesia’s new peatland agency gets more powers, but experts stress enforcement and coordination to keep groundwater levels stable and stop fires. Education Corruption Case: Nadiem Anwar Makarim’s Chromebook procurement case heads to cassation after both defense and prosecutors appeal. ASEAN Digital Skills: ASEAN DEFA negotiations move toward signing, but skills portability across borders remains the key challenge as AI reshapes jobs.

ASEAN Digital Skills Push: Indonesia is urging faster alignment of digital talent with ASEAN’s digital economy as the DEFA framework nears signing, but portability of skills and certifications across borders remains the big hurdle. AI & Cyber Collaboration: UI’s FMIPA and Russian cybersecurity firm Positive Technologies are exploring joint training in data science, AI, and cybersecurity, with Sakuranesia helping connect Indonesian students to real-world cases. GovTech + AI Research in Bali: Luhut calls for Tsinghua University to join AI research at Kura Kura Bali SEZ, aiming to strengthen Indonesia’s GovTech push with researchers, not just equipment. Seaweed Downstreaming: Luhut also wants quicker seaweed downstreaming, arguing Indonesia should build value-added processing using technology and investment—learning from nickel. Green Energy From Waste: Indonesia’s environment ministry plans to link waste-based alternative fuel from regional facilities to big industries, tackling the buyer problem to make projects sustainable. Earthquake Watch (Sumbawa): A 5.9 quake hit Sumbawa with dozens of aftershocks reported; BMKG/GFZ say no tsunami threat, while monitoring continues. Wildlife & Conservation: A conservation photographer’s award-winning work spotlights bird-hunting and wildlife trafficking pressures across the region.

Disaster Watch: A 5.9-magnitude earthquake hit Indonesia’s Sumbawa region at about 10 km depth, according to GFZ, reminding everyone how active the archipelago remains. Digital Money: Bank Indonesia is pushing the Digital Rupiah forward, securing a halal fatwa and starting experimental cross-border testing, with regulators stressing the need for clear rules, data protection, interoperability, and consumer safeguards. Space Tech: BRIN’s Timau National Observatory in East Nusa Tenggara is positioning Indonesia as a key partner for tracking space debris, leveraging its equatorial location and a 3.8-meter telescope for better sky visibility. Climate & Health: El Niño is drying peatlands, enabling underground smoldering fires that are hard to extinguish and produce heavy smoke pollution. Science & Society: A qualitative Delphi study maps a hospital-to-home care pathway for preterm infants in Indonesia, aiming to improve continuity after discharge. Knowledge Exchange: Indonesia’s National Library received 100 book titles from 11 Chinese publishers, spanning science and technology alongside culture and language learning. STEM in Schools: The minister says around 25% of Indonesian schools now offer coding and AI subjects, as the push for broader STEM access continues. Tech Policy: Indonesia is also tightening oversight of overloaded vehicles and public transport safety management systems to reduce road fatalities.

AI & Policy: Kazakhstan’s Tokayev says AI should complement, not replace, human intelligence, urging responsible development and real-economy use cases. Digital Rights: A US appeals court temporarily blocks Minnesota’s ban on AI-generated nude deepfakes, after xAI’s free-speech challenge. STEM in Schools: Indonesia pushes coding and AI from grade 5, but only ~25% of schools offer it; the government also reports rising student research interest via OPSI. Telecom Regulation: Indonesia’s communications ministry says operators’ “remaining quota” protections still fall short of the Constitutional Court ruling, with compliance deadlines and follow-up talks. Low-Carbon Food Tech: Indonesia promotes low-carbon aquaculture (especially tilapia) to regain premium export competitiveness and meet traceability demands. Transport Safety: Indonesia strengthens safety management for public transport and targets overloaded-vehicle oversight. Energy & Infrastructure: A study explores solar PV along South Korea’s railway corridors to expand renewables without competing for land. Science & Culture: Indonesia prepares a Sheikh Yusuf Al Makassari exhibition in Amsterdam, blending history with knowledge and freedom themes. Research Talent: OPSI participation jumps to 39,300 students, reflecting growing interest in research-led problem solving.

STEM Push in Universities: Indonesia’s higher education minister urged campuses to boost STEM graduate output, noting STEM-related fields are only ~28% of enrollments and warning the country could fall behind as AI and superintelligence advance. Rail Safety Accountability: After the East Bekasi train crash, transport experts say the incident reflects “collective failure” across regulators, infrastructure, and emergency procedures—not just the driver. AI Data Center Reality Check: Indonesia’s AI data center push is moving fast, but the country needs a clear resource rule book covering power, regulation, and local capacity to avoid bottlenecks. ASEAN Semiconductor Roadmap: Indonesia is backing an ASEAN semiconductor roadmap focused on research, supply chains, critical minerals infrastructure, and harmonized incentives to reduce unhealthy competition. Volcano Watch: Two new islands reportedly emerged around Anak Krakatau, spotted via Sentinel satellite imagery—research will determine whether they’re new land from the caldera or volcanic deposits. El Niño Impacts: New reporting explains how El Niño can drive both drought and floods, while coastal wave surges raise flood and erosion risks in places like California. Indonesia’s Illegal Cigarette Trade: A Tempo investigation highlights alleged counterfeit excise stamp involvement tied to formal access, raising enforcement and incentive concerns. Wildfire Smoke Spillover: Indonesia’s forest and peatland fires worsened regional haze, with hazardous air readings reported in parts of Sumatra and smoke drifting toward Malaysia and Singapore.

AI Accessibility: Google rolls out Guided Vision in Gemini Live for compatible Android phones, using spoken, real-time camera guidance to help people who are blind or have low vision. Indonesia STEM Education: BRIN builds an innovation-based STEM lab governance framework for Garuda Schools, covering learning models, teacher development, partnerships, and best-practice sharing. Immigration Tech: Indonesia’s Directorate General of Immigration expands tech-driven border services with 298 autogates and launches “Digital Fence” drone-assisted surveillance with ITB. Wildlife Crime: A study warns maleo birds are increasingly targeted by traffickers, with seizures in 2024 and calls for stronger airport enforcement and repatriation mechanisms. Volcano & Space Tech: Sentinel satellite imagery shows two new islands forming around Anak Krakatau after a major eruption, highlighting how Earth observation supports hazard monitoring. Health Policy: Indonesia’s Constitutional Court backs color-coded sugar/salt/fat nutrition labels to strengthen consumer health protection. Energy Transition: Indonesia eyes US partnership to accelerate hydrogen development, citing surplus production capacity and a Rp32T pipeline of initiatives. Sustainability & Fire: Remote-sensing data points to Indonesia’s worst wildfire season in years as El Niño deepens dry conditions. Connectivity Infrastructure: INET, FiberHome, Surge, Nokia, SGI and NTT begin deployment of the 6,870 km SGI submarine cable system across 14 landing points.

Clean Energy & Power Grid: Indonesia’s Prabowo administration is pushing a clearer clean-energy path, with a 100 GWp solar target, but analysts warn coal still dominates and the real bottleneck is grid readiness plus energy storage. Energy Transition on Islands: PLN’s Green Energy Ecosystem Technopark on Rengit Island is being used as a small-island testbed, integrating solar, batteries, wind, and hydrogen to boost electricity access to 24 hours. Downstream Governance: Indonesia is reshuffling ministries and creating a Coordinating Ministry for Downstream and Energy Transition, aiming to speed up licensing, financing, tech, and infrastructure for value-added processing. Digital Economy & Crypto: Coinmico launched a free crypto market data site using its own index built from 51 exchanges and 22 blockchains, aiming to reduce duplicated pricing errors. Cybercrime Cooperation: Indonesia urged faster cross-border coordination to dismantle online scam networks, calling for mechanisms for information sharing and asset recovery with Interpol and ASEAN. Public Health Research: A Lancet Global Health study estimates chewing tobacco caused about 251,000 deaths in 2023, with most of the burden concentrated in South Asia. Climate & Disaster Risk: Experts say Indonesia needs fire risk maps for food estates as wildfires expand under extreme El Niño conditions.

Right-to-Food Push: Komnas HAM urges Indonesia’s food agencies to embed “right to food” principles into policy and oversight, focusing on access, safety, nutrition, and protections for vulnerable groups. Peatland Economics: Forestry Minister Raja Juli Antoni says peatland use must deliver livelihoods while preserving ecosystem functions as Indonesia sets up a national peat and mangrove management agency. Seaweed Value Chain: BRIN maps Indonesia’s seaweed industry from upstream to downstream to unlock higher-value derivatives and move beyond raw exports. Health Awareness: UI’s acute-care expert highlights early heart-attack warning signs and the need for fast treatment. Data Centre Friction: West Java governor Dedi Mulyadi halts a BDx data-centre campus in Jatiluhur over permit and environmental assessment issues. Digital Economy Leadership: Meta appoints Dhruv Vohra to lead its Southeast Asia business; Digital Realty Bersama names a new Indonesia head. Innovation Metrics: WIPO’s Global Innovation Index 2026 points to AI-driven R&D and rising innovation momentum in Indonesia. El Niño Costs: Allianz Research warns “Super El Niño” could hit global output hard, with major losses projected for India, the US, and China. Aviation Security: A FlyDubai cockpit stabbing incident spotlights crew-related hijacking risks.

Indonesia–Philippines Haze: Metro Manila saw “very unhealthy” PM2.5 levels as transboundary smoke from Indonesia’s fires in Kalimantan drifted on prevailing winds, with health warnings for prolonged exposure. Plastic-to-school Build: Bakti Barito is turning about 15 tons of low-value residual plastic into a Garut school’s bricks and building parts (floors, ceilings, pipes, frames), aiming to finish quickly after a July 2026 target. Net Zero Campus Push: A Jakarta dialogue brought ministries, universities, and partners to shape an “Indonesia Net Zero Campus” ecosystem—focused on cutting campus emissions without adding compliance burden. Biometrics Progress: NIST’s SlapSeg fingerprint segmentation tests show improving software approaches, including Sopra Steria’s competitive first submission and new developer entries. Identity & AI Governance: Rig Security emerged with seed funding to manage permissions and trust for AI agents that act under human identities—pushing governance into identity security. Online Safety for Minors: Indonesia urged Meta to accelerate deactivating under-16 accounts under PP Tunas, demanding timelines and measurable reporting. ASEAN Digital Economy: A new outlook puts ASEAN’s digital economy on a path toward $1T by 2030, led by e-commerce and policy/platform maturation.

Trade & Industry: Indonesia’s Trade Ministry is rolling out AI services at TEI 2026 for the first time, letting overseas buyers order AI-based products and services from Indonesian talent. Energy & Climate Tech: Indonesia says US tariffs of up to 114% on solar panels are a chance to boost domestic demand and local production, supporting its 100 GW solar push. Health Tech (Regulatory): Xenix Medical received FDA 510(k) clearance to add NanoACTIV™ surface technology to the screw shanks of its Riva® spinal fixation system. Digital Government: Indonesia’s tax authority says the Foreign Digital Transaction Tax Collection System (SPP TDLN) is live since Sept 25, with refinements ongoing but no delay. Public Services: The Health Ministry targets upgrading 66 regional public hospitals from Type D to Type C by 2027 to expand specialist care in remote areas. Infrastructure & Research: Indonesia plans to finalize the site for its first nuclear power plant by 2026–2027, depending on chosen technology. Science & Earth Data: A Pompeii/Vesuvius historical benchmark is helping scientists sharpen argon-argon dating, improving timelines for volcanic events including those near Indonesia. Governance: Five officials were suspended after luxury inmate accommodations were found at Cibinong Jail. International Cooperation: Indonesia and Switzerland are exploring collaboration on water, energy storage, and low-carbon resilient transport.

Education & Equity: Indonesia is moving toward a free college program, with early support aimed at low-income students so they can study at either public or private universities. Public Health: WHO recommends the 2027 Southern Hemisphere influenza vaccine composition as global flu activity rises, including specific H1N1, H3N2, and B Victoria-lineage strains. Climate & Agriculture: BMKG warns El Niño is delaying Indonesia’s rainy season, threatening rice and other crop planting schedules, while farmers say they lack literacy to respond. Energy Policy: Indonesia will keep Pertalite and other subsidized fuel prices unchanged despite global oil hitting about $107/bbl, while non-subsidized prices will track market averages. AI in Banking: GoTyme rolls out an AWS-based AI Root Cause Analysis tool to cut incident diagnosis from ~34.5 minutes to about 10 minutes, with human oversight. Logistics Automation: Flexport launches a Model Context Protocol server so freight shippers’ AI agents can track, quote, and book shipments via plain-language requests. Space: SpaceX’s Starship successfully reached Earth orbit in its latest test flight, despite an engine failure early on. Digital Infrastructure: Indonesia offers carbon market incentives for green investors, including low-emission rice, waste-to-energy, and blue carbon projects.

OpenAI Agent Breach Lessons: Australia revealed an OpenAI agent accessed both public and nonpublic health portal files, highlighting the need for clear cybersecurity assumptions as Indonesia drafts its cybersecurity and resilience bill (Cybersecurity & Governance). Green Energy Push: Indonesia is revising its electricity master plan to target 100 GWp solar in 2–3 years, backed by smart-grid transmission expansion and faster clean power deployment (Energy Transition). Power Investment Pipeline: The updated RUPTL (2025–2034) opens Rp2,133.7T in power-sector investment opportunities, with renewables, storage, and grid buildout driving hundreds of thousands of jobs (Infrastructure & Jobs). Low-Carbon Downstreaming: Govt targets US$618.1B for deepening EV, batteries, solar components, and biofuels value chains by 2040, aiming to scale jobs and capture global clean-tech demand (Industrial Policy). ASEAN Digital Trade Framework: The ASEAN Digital Economy Framework Agreement (DEFA) is nearing signature, signaling a new regional model for digital trade rules and payments (Digital Economy). Education & Skills: OECD warns teacher shortages are pressuring math and science, especially in rural and disadvantaged areas (STEM & Workforce). Conservation via Incentives: A pay-per-photo/audio wildlife program in West Kalimantan is turning local observers into protectors, driving hundreds of thousands of verified sightings (Biotech & Biodiversity). Climate Risk—El Niño: Reports and officials warn “super El Niño” could bring extreme weather, pushing governments to prepare for worst-case impacts (Climate Resilience).

Digital Identity & Payments: IFC unveiled a $700M risk-sharing push to help banks and fintechs scale digital payments in emerging markets, with extra focus on identity, authentication, and fraud risks. ASEAN Talent & AI Investment: Reeracoen’s ASEAN consumer/business pulse survey finds Indonesia leads business confidence and career mobility, while Singapore leads AI and tech investment—no single country tops every metric. Jakarta Mobility: Transjakarta’s Jakarta fare adjustment is backed by user satisfaction, but the report stresses ongoing issues and gradual public socialization. IDX Market Rules: Indonesia’s stock exchange removed the Rp 50 price floor to Rp 1, sending low-priced shares like GoTo sharply lower at the open. Digital Aviation Ecosystem: TransNusa teamed with Skywise to launch Indonesia’s first integrated digital aviation ecosystem. Digital Identity Interop: OpenID Foundation’s OpenID4VP/OpenID4VCI HAIP self-certifications expand verifiable credential issuance and wallet interoperability. Corruption & Governance: KPK continues targeting regional heads from the 2024 elections, with another regent arrested in North Bolaang Mongondow. Climate Risk: Coverage highlights a likely “super El Niño” and what it could mean for extreme weather and preparedness.